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A trade journal of a still-emerging field, written by Adam Tinworth.

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Christmas light

And so, another year ends in this festive season. I’m facing a 2012 with more uncertainty than I think I’ve known in over a decade, but with uncertainty comes possibility and with possibility comes the chance of something great…
So I’m relaxing with family, cooking a huge turkey, and looking forward to presents and whisky later on.
Thank you all so much for reading OM&HB this year. There’s a festive message, a review of the year, some “missing posts” and a list of the most popular posts of the year to come over the next week or so.
I hope you have a great Christmas, if that’s your thing, or a happy holiday period if it’s not. Best wishes to you all.

Sunday Times Christmas EditionIt’s been a year for hatin’ on News International, what with the whole phone-hacking business. But, give them their due, they’re still experimenting. This morning, for the first time in as long as I can remember, I’m reading a Christmas Day edition of a newspaper:

Sunday Times Christmas Edition sections
The contents of the Sunday Times Christmas Edition
I always used to be mildly annoyed that we never got Christmas Day newspapers when I was growing up – and also, as I go a bit older, feel sorry for those poor hacks on the news pages of the Boxing Day editions…
The idea of a digital only issue of The Sunday Times, pushed out to tablets, is just genius. Kudos to the digital team there. 
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While most of us pack on the pounds over Christmas, it appears that web pages have been doing it all year long:

The HTTP Archive charted the growth of the average web page and found that average web pages have grown from 726 KB a year ago to 965 KB now. The 33 percent jump is due in large part to more images and third-party scripts like ads and analytics. Javascript content, spurred on by the rise of HTML5, has grown over the last year by 44.7 percent, according to analysis by Royal Pingdom.

There’s an argument that, as bandwidth grows, this is fine. But I think the rapid growth of mobile browsing more than outweighs that.

New Year diets all around…

Do stupid things fasterSome delicious, cream-filled linky goodness to while away the rest of the afternoon:

  • Driving by looking in the rear view mirror – an interesting cautionary note from Neil, looking at how predicting the death of things or viewing the future with too much reference to the past can skew your views. I remember the days when I though that RSS would allow us to build and have printed our own “newspapers”… 
  • More thoughts on magazines and publishing on the iPad – I like the pragmatic approach on display here. And I really don’t like straight PDF replicas. 
  • Designing apps for tablets: consider the time of day – interesting figures. I think too few people are considering how and when people will use their apps right now. We’re too used to the one-setting (at the keyboard) paradigm of the web…
  • Publish or perish McKinsey tells retail brands – I find the rise of brand content at the same time that traditional journalism content is on the decline to be one of the most compelling feature of the attention wars right now. For all that it’s a tough time to be a journalist, content is clearly still in demand…
  • SoLoMo in the fast lane – I thought that the “local” element of Le Web’s social-local-mobile theme was the least in evidence. Here’s an argument that I’m wrong. 
Mmm. Links and coffee… 😉

Parker and Pishevar

Sean Parker, General Partner, Founders Fund & Shervin Pishevar, Managing Director, Menlo Ventures

After an awkward and unrevealing bit of questioning about a meeting near the White House that Parker and Pishevar started talking about making new businesses. Parker denies being an investor – despite making investments – he seems himself as an entrepreneur with his own fund. Right now he thinks there’s too much capital chasing too few good businesses with good ideas, so we need more entrepreneurial startups. If there’s too many startups getting founded at early stage, you end up with a serious talent crunch.
Pishevar is looking for businesses with really ambitious goals. It takes as much effort to run a local coffee shop as it does the whole of Starbucks. Which would you rather do? You can build a multi-million business in a contracted period of time, because of the web. We’re in a transitional period of time, so the entire world is a start-up right now. Our generation is ready to lead, but we don’t want to accept the institutions; we want to disrupt them. Things set up for the 20th century don’t compute for us. Shaker and Airtime are allowing us to bring a bit more randomness into our world, as we’ve already met (remet) all the people we know through existing social tools.

So many companies come to us without a complete team, says Parker. For example, they need a really good engineering leader, who can code and can hire and grow a team rapidly. Without that, they’ll struggle until they become successful enough to recruit someone. Parker doesn’t like sack management teams, but to take an operational role in the companies that he manages.
Alexia TsotsisAlexia asks about Gowalla, which both were an investor in. They both seem happy with the deal to sell it to Facebook, as Parker described it as a “good exit for Josh”. Parker suggests that the company wasn’t innovative enough in combatting Foursquare, remaining too similar to the leading product. Everyone has their failures, says Pishevar, and if you don’t fail, you don’t have a place at the table. He suggests that people need success amnesia – instead of resting on their laurels, they push forwards with new things after a success. The same should be true for failures. That’s the inspiring part of entrepreneurship.

And we’re getting quite philosophical now. Pishevar is talking about people losing their fear – “fear becomes finite, hope become infinite” “We are not afraid of death…”

Parker thinks Spotify was his chance for redemption after Napster. He’s helping fix problems he created. At one point he couldn’t get meetings with guys in the record labels, and now he considers some of them good friends. Media business tend to be insular, run by a small elite. But it’s a shrinking industry, so it’s harder and harder from everyone from artists to publisher to make money. Parker’s (self-proclaimed personal) view is that the best music in the world is NOT being made today. The mechanism by which the music gets to your ears is unable to take risks with the artists that come to them. They let bands get a long way into their career before they fund them.

For music to go viral, we needed to establish a free tier of service, says Parker. By creating that with Facebook, we’ve allowed anyone to experience any music for free. Apple’s licensing model doesn’t support social distribution of music. Spotify is starting to answer the question of how we’ll find our new music in future…

Parker puts his biggest failure as the hiring at Napster – he got the wrong people, a certain breed of “parasitic leech”. You have to recognise that, and eradicate them as you would any insect. He was too you and naive to tell the difference between a competent executive. Pishevar learned from a period when he had custody of his kids, and was trying to write business plans while looking after his children. He also learnt that you shouldn’t build business 10 years ahead of its time.

And some guy is claiming to be Sean Parker’s son from 10 years into the future… One way to get a meeting.

Parker feels that the social media elements of politics haven’t been figured out yet. the 2008 campaigns made a lot of claims, but it was more about making the candidates seem relevance than any actual effects. He thinks next year’s election will be the one where social media comes of age. Social media can deliver a relationship between people more cost effectively than traditional methods – and that’s how it could change things, by letting a less well funded candidate win.

Someone from the audience asked why Spotify now requires Facebook. If you build a music  product that’s designed to be isolated, then social doesn’t matter, says Parker. If you want a network, then you really want everyone sharing, and so enforcing the Facebook login enables that. They made a bet that Facebook is so deeply penetrated that there’s enough people that it won’t adversely affect their growth.

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